Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Currency 96.80 96.06 96.48 96.91 97.33
Stock Market 24343.09 26407 26103 25804 25507
Government Bond 10Y 2.86 3.1 3.15 3.21 3.26
Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 3.50 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.00 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.7
Unemployment Rate 3.70 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7
Non Farm Payrolls 155.00 165 193 182 179
Inflation Rate 2.50 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.4
Inflation Rate Mom 0.30 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Interest Rate 2.25 2.5 2.5 2.75 3
Interbank Rate 2.77 2.62 2.62 2.87 3.12
Balance of Trade -55488.00 -53000 -52000 -44000 -56000
Exports 211046.00 215000 207000 213000 213000
Government Debt to GDP 105.40 108 108 108 108
Government Budget -3.50 -5 -5 -5 -5
Business Confidence 59.30 56 53 55 57
Manufacturing PMI 55.30 55.2 52.1 52.8 53.2
Non Manufacturing PMI 60.70 54.6 54 54.2 56
Services PMI 54.70 54.5 53.1 54 55.3
Consumer Confidence 97.50 97.5 95 96 97
Retail Sales MoM 0.80 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3
Building Permits 1263.00 1230 1320 1246 1241
Corporate Tax Rate 21.00 21 21 21 21
Personal Income Tax Rate 37.00 37 37 37 37
GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 3.50 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.7
GDP Annual Growth Rate 3.00 2.9 2.5 2.8 2.7
GDP 19390.60 19800 20220 20220 20220
GDP Constant Prices 18671.65 18752 18782 19030 19176
Gross National Product 18928.22 17976 17991 19292 19273
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 3333.62 3302 3353 3415 3410
GDP per capita 53128.54 53500 54100 54100 54100
GDP per capita PPP 54225.45 55220 56900 56900 56900
GDP From Agriculture 216.90 156 154 154 154
GDP From Construction 641.40 680 684 686 685
GDP From Manufacturing 2125.80 2041 2050 2056 2054
GDP From Mining 429.80 399 402 403 403
GDP From Public Administration 2175.50 2147 2136 2142 2140
GDP From Services 12700.80 12072 12080 12116 12104
GDP From Transport 542.40 492 498 499 499
GDP From Utilities 284.30 292 286 286 286
Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Unemployment Rate 3.70 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7
Non Farm Payrolls 155.00 165 193 182 179
Government Payrolls -6.00 12 1 15 6.87
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 161.00 160 188 178 166
Manufacturing Payrolls 27.00 10 12 1 6
Initial Jobless Claims 231.00 210 215 220 230
Continuing Jobless Claims 1631.00 1600 1626 1610 1630
ADP Employment Change 179.00 160 220 219 219
Employed Persons 156795.00 155964 156189 156389 156566
Unemployed Persons 5975.00 5970 5848 5756 5682
Average Hourly Earnings 0.20 0.28 0.3 0.2 0.3
Average Weekly Hours 34.40 34.4 34.5 34.5 34.5
Labor Force Participation Rate 62.90 62.8 62.7 62.7 62.7
Long Term Unemployment Rate 0.77 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
Youth Unemployment Rate 8.30 8.3 8.2 8.1 8
Productivity 105.69 106 106 107 107
Labour Costs 109.05 110 110 111 111
Job Vacancies 7070.00 5450 5900 6732 6300
Job Offers 7009.00 5818 6300 6700 6600
Challenger Job Cuts 53073.00 33300 55080 36000 42000
Wages 22.95 23.25 23.65 24.05 24.55
Wages in Manufacturing 21.82 21.65 21.9 21.45 21.75
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.5 7.5 7.5
Employment Cost Index 0.80 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7
Population 325.72 327 328 329 330
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66 66 66 66
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66 66 66 66
Wages Low Skilled 1960.00 2150 2150 2150 2150
Wages High Skilled 4520.00 4500 4500 4550 4550
Living Wage Family 2380.00 2300 2380 2380 2380
Part Time Employment 27039.00 27002 26990 26700 26800
Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Inflation Rate 2.50 2.4 2.3 2.6 2.4
Inflation Rate Mom 0.30 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Consumer Price Index CPI 252.83 254 255 257 258
Core Consumer Prices 258.94 260 262 263 264
Core Inflation Rate 2.10 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2
GDP Deflator 110.65 116 116 117 113
Producer Prices 117.20 118 119 120 120
Producer Prices Change 2.90 3 2.8 3.1 3.2
Export Prices 127.80 128 128 128 128
Food Inflation 1.20 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.9
Core Pce Price Index 110.46 111 111 112 112
CPI Housing Utilities 260.27 260 262 265 266
CPI Transportation 213.48 208 213 220 218
Pce Price Index 108.77 117 109 110 110
Inflation Expectations 3.00 2.9 3.1 3.1 3
Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Interest Rate 2.25 2.5 2.5 2.75 3
Interbank Rate 2.77 2.62 2.62 2.87 3.12
Money Supply M0 3476418.00 3494439 3478880 3475540 3474523
Money Supply M1 3738.40 3774 3820 3866 3912
Money Supply M2 14271.50 14362 14505 14653 14803
Central Bank Balance Sheet 4102109.00 4358306 4352601 4350218 4036945
Private Debt to GDP 202.80 198 195 195 205
Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Balance of Trade -55488.00 -53000 -52000 -44000 -56000
Exports 211046.00 215000 207000 213000 213000
Imports 266534.00 260000 259000 257000 269000
Current Account -101460.00 -102000 -109000 -103000 -101000
Current Account to GDP -2.40 -2.3 -2.2 -2.2 -2.2
External Debt 19306582.00 19639250 19814326 19990976 20168568
Terms of Trade 106.98 99.55 99.45 99.65 99.74
Capital Flows -29140.00 30779 40480 45941 51386
Foreign Direct Investment 47253.00 47576 46773 47180 47032
Net Long Term Tic Flows 30808.00 57003 50201 49156 49370
Crude Oil Production 11475.00 12000 12500 12730 12800
Terrorism Index 5.43 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.6
Tourist Arrivals 6734056.00 6791500 6764000 6755000 6759100
Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Government Debt to GDP 105.40 108 108 108 108
Government Budget -3.50 -5 -5 -5 -5
Government Budget Value -100000.00 -33824 -45667 -58601 -62101
Government Spending 3192.17 3231 3231 3261 3284
Military Expenditure 597177.90 752325 599577 599947 600317
Government Spending To GDP 37.70 37.7 37.7 37.7 37.7
Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Corporate Tax Rate 21.00 21 21 21 21
Personal Income Tax Rate 37.00 37 37 37 37
Sales Tax Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0
Social Security Rate 15.30 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.3
Social Security Rate For Companies 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65
Social Security Rate For Employees 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65
Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Business Confidence 59.30 56 53 55 57
Manufacturing PMI 55.30 55.2 52.1 52.8 53.2
Non Manufacturing PMI 60.70 54.6 54 54.2 56
Services PMI 54.70 54.5 53.1 54 55.3
Composite Pmi 54.70 54.3 55.2 55.4 54.2
Industrial Production 4.10 3 2.9 3 2.6
Industrial Production Mom 0.10 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2
Manufacturing Production 2.70 2.1 1.8 2.38 2.31
Capacity Utilization 78.40 78.3 78.5 78.6 78.82
Durable Goods Orders -4.40 2.5 -1.5 2.2 1.5
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -1.20 2 -0.8 1.8 1.2
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.10 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.3
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 0.8 0.3 1.2 0.5
Factory Orders -2.10 1.5 -0.9 2.2 1.8
Business Inventories 0.30 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5
Changes in Inventories 86.65 69 59.79 81.01 52.23
Wholesale Inventories 0.80 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.68
Bankruptcies 22103.00 21769 21569 21575 21436
Corporate Profits 2073.50 2093 2114 2131 2145
NFIB Business Optimism Index 107.40 105 107 105 102
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 12.90 21 25 9.41 10
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 14.00 5 10 11 7
Ism New York Index 67.80 67 56 53.9 60
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 23.30 21 19 17 22
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 17.60 27.9 20.1 28.6 19.36
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.24 0.9 0.7 0.22 0.21
Chicago Pmi 66.40 59.1 61 58 56
Total Vehicle Sales 17.49 17.4 16.9 17 18
Car Production 2.64 2.97 3.1 3.2 3.1
Car Registrations 436.69 474 486 471 467
Crude Oil Stocks Change -7.32 -2 2.5 4.5 3.8
Gasoline Stocks Change 1699.00 1000 2200 -1600 -1200
Natural Gas Stocks Change -63.00 -180 -55 75 55
API Crude Oil Stock Change 5.36 6.2 4.8 -3.2 5.2
Steel Production 7571.00 6870 7457 7369 7374
Competitiveness Index 85.64 86.14 86.14 86.14 86.14
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1 1 1 1
Corruption Index 75.00 75 75 75 75
Corruption Rank 16.00 16 16 16 16
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6 7 8 8
Mining Production 13.10 11 9 11 13.88
Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Consumer Confidence 97.50 97.5 95 96 97
Retail Sales MoM 0.80 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3
Retail Sales YoY 4.60 4 4.2 4 5.2
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.70 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.7
Consumer Spending 12957.22 13075 13041 13202 13319
Disposable Personal Income 15700.50 15717 15725 15724 15720
Personal Spending 0.60 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.35
Personal Income 0.50 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.1
Personal Savings 6.20 6.6 6.7 6.8 7
Consumer Credit 25.38 15.1 13 14 10.5
Private Sector Credit 9446.76 9487 9537 9586 9632
Bank Lending Rate 5.25 5.25 5.25 5.5 5.75
Economic Optimism Index 52.60 52.3 52 51.3 53.9
Redbook Index 7.00 5.8 5.2 4.8 4
Chain Store Sales 3812.00 9100 4200 4000 4050
Gasoline Prices 0.67 0.73 0.71 0.7 0.69
Households Debt To GDP 77.30 77.5 78 78 78
Housing Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Building Permits 1263.00 1230 1320 1246 1241
Housing Starts 1228.00 1330 1300 1218 1216
New Home Sales 544.00 600 615 635 595
Pending Home Sales -6.70 0.1 1.1 1.3 -5.31
Existing Home Sales 5220.00 5600 5500 5250 5251
Construction Spending -0.10 1 0.4 -0.3 0.8
Housing Index 0.20 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3
Nahb Housing Market Index 60.00 68 66 65.3 65
Mortgage Rate 5.08 5.17 5.17 5.42 5.67
Mortgage Applications 2.00 1.2 3.4 -0.8 3.5
Case Shiller Home Price Index 213.76 213 215 218 221
Home Ownership Rate 64.40 64.5 64.6 65 64.8


Stany Zjednoczone - Prognozy - Wskaźniki ekonomiczne - Prognozy wskaźników ekonomicznych w tym przewidywania długoterminowego i krótkoterminowego.