Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Currency 3.78 3.76 3.79 3.82 3.85
Stock Market 57385.01 58279 57607 56947 56292
Government Bond 10Y 3.03 3.28 3.33 3.37 3.42
Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 1.70 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
GDP Annual Growth Rate 5.10 4 3.8 3.5 3.4
Unemployment Rate 5.70 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1
Inflation Rate 1.20 2 2.5 2.6 2.7
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4
Interest Rate 1.50 1.5 1.75 2 2
Interbank Rate 1.62 1.62 1.87 2.12 2.12
Balance of Trade -449.00 500 300 500 -480
Exports 17683.00 15600 18900 18100 18170
Government Debt to GDP 50.60 49.4 47.6 47.6 47.6
Government Budget -1.70 -1.1 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6
Business Confidence 6.10 10 9 9 8
Manufacturing PMI 49.50 53.6 53 53.4 53.2
Consumer Confidence 5.20 3.8 3.6 3.2 3
Retail Sales MoM 0.20 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.4
Corporate Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19
Personal Income Tax Rate 32.00 32 32 32 32
GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
GDP Growth Rate 1.70 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
GDP Annual Growth Rate 5.10 4 3.8 3.5 3.4
GDP 524.51 551 564 564 564
GDP Constant Prices 516236.40 557656 488218 506829 506658
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 91965.60 144350 82953 81775 81747
GDP per capita 15751.23 16200 16700 16700 16700
GDP per capita PPP 27216.44 26700 27500 27500 27500
GDP From Agriculture 9864.20 10795 10665 9979 9976
GDP From Construction 37888.60 45136 22742 38331 38318
GDP From Manufacturing 92144.40 112966 93312 93220 93188
Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Unemployment Rate 5.70 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1
Employed Persons 16617.00 17100 17200 17300 17400
Unemployed Persons 951.60 945 932 925 927
Long Term Unemployment Rate 1.00 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
Youth Unemployment Rate 12.70 9.1 8.5 7.8 6.9
Labour Costs 112.60 103 106 105 116
Productivity 119.90 139 114 118 115
Job Vacancies 99.30 75 115 130 103
Wages 4580.20 4700 4750 4650 4650
Wages in Manufacturing 4687.05 4600 4600 4550 4720
Wage Growth 7.60 5.1 4.5 4.2 4.2
Minimum Wages 480.20 480 560 560 560
Population 37.98 37.98 38 38 38
Retirement Age Women 60.00 60 60 60 60
Retirement Age Men 65.00 65 65 65 65
Labor Force Participation Rate 56.50 56.4 56.3 56.6 56.4
Part Time Employment 1087.40 1170 1190 1200 1200
Employment Change 3.20 3.2 3 2.8 2.7
Employment Rate 67.70 66.8 66.9 66.9 67
Full Time Employment 15138.90 15700 15800 15900 16000
Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Inflation Rate 1.20 2 2.5 2.6 2.7
Inflation Rate Mom 0.00 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4
Consumer Price Index CPI 175.50 176 176 177 177
Core Consumer Prices 100.87 101 101 102 102
Core Inflation Rate 0.90 1 1.2 1.5 1.9
GDP Deflator 111.42 112 112 113 114
Producer Prices 106.50 105 106 108 108
Producer Prices Change 3.20 2.2 2.3 2 2.2
Export Prices 103.90 102 102 102 102
Import Prices 103.30 103 103 102 102
Food Inflation 1.80 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.4
Harmonised Consumer Prices 103.10 104 103 104 104
Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Interest Rate 1.50 1.5 1.75 2 2
Interbank Rate 1.62 1.62 1.87 2.12 2.12
Money Supply M0 257614.90 262000 265000 269000 275801
Money Supply M1 957382.97 1046000 1091000 1141000 1037050
Money Supply M2 1380484.55 1750000 1810000 1870000 1458667
Money Supply M3 1394706.06 1880000 1950000 2030000 1473743
Foreign Exchange Reserves 113835.00 114000 114000 115000 111072
Banks Balance Sheet 1965002.40 2250000 2290000 2330000 2055294
Deposit Interest Rate 0.50 0.5 0.75 1 1
Private Debt to GDP 121.70 119 115 115 115
Cash Reserve Ratio 3.50 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5
Central Bank Balance Sheet 439438.50 444000 451000 462000 454126
Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Balance of Trade -449.00 500 300 500 -480
Exports 17683.00 15600 18900 18100 18170
Imports 18132.00 15100 18600 17600 18650
Current Account -547.00 -37 -200 -480 250
Current Account to GDP 0.30 -0.6 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2
External Debt 362827.00 379000 381000 383000 360210
Terms of Trade 100.60 98.93 99.03 99.51 100
Capital Flows -533.00 -560 -320 910 -120
Foreign Direct Investment 199053.00 186800 190700 190700 190700
Remittances 602.00 685 710 720 670
Gold Reserves 112.30 103 103 103 112
Terrorism Index 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
Weapons Sales 3.00 5 5 5 5
Crude Oil Production 21.00 21 21 21 21.02
Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Government Debt to GDP 50.60 49.4 47.6 47.6 47.6
Government Budget -1.70 -1.1 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6
Government Budget Value 6476.30 -10700 -1600 -2900 3000
Government Spending 90760.50 108235 84787 92036 92005
Government Spending to GDP 41.20 41 41 41 41
Government Revenues 309414.00 345000 87500 175100 268000
Government Debt 949654.51 998000 1005000 1029000 1046000
Fiscal Expenditure 302937.70 355700 89100 178000 265000
Asylum Applications 175.00 370 290 300 250
Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Corporate Tax Rate 19.00 19 19 19 19
Personal Income Tax Rate 32.00 32 32 32 32
Sales Tax Rate 23.00 23 23 23 23
Social Security Rate 36.12 36.12 36.12 36.12 36.12
Social Security Rate For Companies 22.41 22.41 22.41 22.41 22.41
Social Security Rate For Employees 13.71 13.71 13.71 13.71 13.71
Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Business Confidence 6.10 10 9 9 8
Manufacturing PMI 49.50 53.6 53 53.4 53.2
Industrial Production 7.40 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.2
Industrial Production Mom 1.30 0.5 -0.4 0.5 -0.6
Manufacturing Production 7.30 4.4 4 3.7 3.4
Capacity Utilization 82.50 82.8 82.9 83 83.4
New Orders 110.90 104 102 107 105
Changes in Inventories 11216.90 2720 9441 11683 9871
Car Production 45.00 29 62 66 45
Car Registrations 39908.00 45900 51500 40500 41500
Steel Production 850.00 578 890 700 796
Mining Production -0.30 1.9 2.5 2.2 1.7
Cement Production 1915.00 1140 1510 1650 1431
Competitiveness Index 68.16 68.66 68.66 68.66 68.66
Competitiveness Rank 37.00 37 37 37 37
Ease of Doing Business 33.00 26 25 25 25
Electricity Production 13497.00 15100 14600 13200 13924
Corporate Profits 88642.50 166000 49100 99100 132400
Corruption Index 60.00 60 60 60 60
Corruption Rank 36.00 36 36 36 36
Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Consumer Confidence 5.20 3.8 3.6 3.2 3
Retail Sales MoM 0.20 -0.2 0.4 -0.4 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 9.70 5.9 4.5 4 3.6
Consumer Spending 306226.40 283783 290642 298573 298472
Personal Savings -9.40 14.5 -8.1 3 1.8
Consumer Credit 718223.08 717000 722000 727000 747432
Gasoline Prices 1.34 1.33 1.3 1.28 1.26
Households Debt To GDP 35.20 34.9 34.4 34.4 34.4
Households Debt To Income 59.96 56.7 56.2 56.2 56.2
Housing Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Construction Output 20.20 7.8 6.2 5.8 5.1
Housing Index 111.95 110 112 113 112
Building Permits 79367.00 118200 27900 61500 95100
Home Ownership Rate 84.20 83 82.7 82.7 82.7


Polska - Prognozy - Wskaźniki ekonomiczne - Prognozy wskaźników ekonomicznych w tym przewidywania długoterminowego i krótkoterminowego.