Markets Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Currency 1.14 1.15 1.14 1.13 1.13 1.1
Stock Market 19091.36 20332 20058 19786 19520 18487
Government Bond 10Y 2.90 3.27 3.39 3.51 3.64 4.19
Overview Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
GDP Growth Rate -0.10 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.70 1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8
Unemployment Rate 10.60 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 8.8
Inflation Rate 1.70 1.6 1.7 1.9 2 2.3
Inflation Rate Mom -0.10 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.07 0.4
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Balance of Trade 1274.37 5100 6800 1800 4400 5400
Current Account 3154.00 5760 2720 4750 3870 2510
Current Account to GDP 2.80 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1
Government Debt to GDP 131.80 129 126 126 126 124
Government Budget -2.30 -1.5 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -0.5
Business Confidence 104.40 102 104 105 106 106
Services PMI 50.30 52.9 50.8 54.5 54.2 54.4
Manufacturing PMI 48.60 50.2 47.6 50.7 51.1 54.1
Consumer Confidence 114.80 114 114 114 113 111
Retail Sales MoM 0.10 0.3 -0.4 -0.3 0.6 0.4
Corporate Tax Rate 24.00 24 24 24 24 24
Personal Income Tax Rate 43.00 43 43 43 43 43
GDP Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
GDP Growth Rate -0.10 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5
GDP Annual Growth Rate 0.70 1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.8
GDP 1934.80 2060 2120 2120 2120 2240
GDP Constant Prices 403919.00 404493 405499 406436 406072 417951
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 74584.00 74233 73611 75757 74982 76703
GDP per capita 34877.83 35100 35600 35600 35600 36000
GDP per capita PPP 35220.08 35600 36000 36000 36000 36400
GDP From Agriculture 7182.00 6985 7303 7103 7220 7217
GDP From Construction 16532.00 16413 16407 16511 16620 16959
GDP From Manufacturing 70584.00 71295 71055 71170 70960 73667
GDP From Services 271273.00 271427 272272 273135 272719 280458
Labour Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Unemployment Rate 10.60 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.7 8.8
Employed Persons 23254.79 23900 24100 24400 24700 25900
Unemployed Persons 2746.18 2650 2620 2600 2580 2500
Part Time Employment 35331.72 39000 39400 39800 40900 43000
Full Time Employment 141063.95 146000 146700 147200 147600 149000
Employment Rate 58.70 58.4 58.5 58.6 58.8 59
Labor Force Participation Rate 65.80 66.2 66.4 66.5 66.4 66.5
Long Term Unemployment Rate 6.40 5.5 5.2 5 4.9 4.5
Youth Unemployment Rate 32.50 30.2 29.8 29.5 28.9 27
Labour Costs 107.00 107 107 108 109 112
Wages 2434.00 2450 2459 2459 2459 2475
Wages in Manufacturing 113.70 114 114 115 115 120
Wage Growth 1.80 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9
Population 60.48 60.48 60.21 60.21 60.21 60.02
Retirement Age Women 65.58 66.58 66 65.58 64 66
Retirement Age Men 66.58 66.58 67 67 66.58 67
Wages Low Skilled 1130.00 1290 1410 1410 1410 1480
Wages High Skilled 2340.00 2430 2440 2440 2440 2560
Living Wage Family 1440.00 1450 1550 1550 1550 1650
Living Wage Individual 935.00 900 1020 1020 1020 1120
Employment Change 0.50 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
Prices Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Inflation Rate 1.70 1.6 1.7 1.9 2 2.3
Inflation Rate Mom -0.10 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.07 0.4
Harmonised Consumer Prices 103.50 104 104 105 106 108
Consumer Price Index CPI 102.50 103 104 104 105 107
Core Consumer Prices 100.60 102 103 104 104 106
Core Inflation Rate 0.90 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.8
GDP Deflator 108.89 112 112 113 114 117
Producer Prices 106.40 106 107 108 110 111
Producer Prices Change 5.80 3.7 2.9 2.5 2.3 2.2
Export Prices 109.10 109 109 110 110 112
Import Prices 109.40 110 111 112 112 115
Food Inflation 1.10 2.2 2 2.1 2.3 2.3
CPI Housing Utilities 100.60 102 104 102 105 107
CPI Transportation 101.40 105 105 108 108 109
Money Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Interest Rate 0.00 0 0 0 0.25 0.75
Interbank Rate -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.07 0.43
Money Supply M1 1178020.00 1290000 1320000 1340000 1360000 1510000
Money Supply M2 1546444.00 1740000 1780000 1810000 1830000 2010000
Money Supply M3 1535185.00 1780000 1820000 1850000 1870000 2050000
Banks Balance Sheet 3740972.61 3980000 4050000 4080000 4110000 4290000
Loans to Private Sector 694968.00 725000 765000 795000 815000 901000
Private Debt to GDP 168.90 170 168 168 168 166
Central Bank Balance Sheet 971603.50 995000 1122000 1152000 1201000 1341000
Trade Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Balance of Trade 1274.37 5100 6800 1800 4400 5400
Current Account 3154.00 5760 2720 4750 3870 2510
Current Account to GDP 2.80 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.1
Imports 35641.16 32100 38700 37100 37100 37500
Exports 36915.52 37200 45500 38900 41500 42900
External Debt 2138556.00 2210000 2230000 2260000 2290000 2370000
Terms of Trade 99.70 99.09 98.2 98.21 98.21 97.39
Capital Flows 1040.00 5780 1820 6510 5250 5210
Remittances 141.61 164 169 165 165 155
Gold Reserves 2451.80 2452 2452 2452 2452 2452
Tourism Revenues 4814.15 2300 2500 4500 4700 2500
Crude Oil Production 83.00 101 101 101 101 103
Foreign Direct Investment 153.00 960 -1220 2900 -600 470
Government Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Government Debt to GDP 131.80 129 126 126 126 124
Government Budget -2.30 -1.5 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -0.5
Government Budget Value -33.82 -6.8 -10 4.6 3.8 -4.9
Government Spending 78350.00 78637 78561 78778 78768 81253
Government Spending to GDP 48.90 48 47 47 47 46
Government Revenues 29.59 98.2 37.6 49.8 38.2 105
Government Debt 2331254.00 2398000 2408000 2421000 2439000 2514000
Fiscal Expenditure 63.41 105 47.6 45.2 34.4 110
Asylum Applications 4810.00 7270 10500 9950 8700 6820
Taxes Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Corporate Tax Rate 24.00 24 24 24 24 24
Personal Income Tax Rate 43.00 43 43 43 43 43
Sales Tax Rate 22.00 22 25 25 25 25
Social Security Rate 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49 39.49
Social Security Rate For Companies 30.00 30 30 30 30 30
Social Security Rate For Employees 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49 9.49
Business Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Business Confidence 104.40 102 104 105 106 106
Services PMI 50.30 52.9 50.8 54.5 54.2 54.4
Manufacturing PMI 48.60 50.2 47.6 50.7 51.1 54.1
Industrial Production 1.00 2.5 3.2 3 2.6 2.2
Industrial Production Mom 0.10 -0.1 0.4 -0.3 0.4 0.2
Manufacturing Production 1.20 3.6 3.2 3 2.8 2.5
Capacity Utilization 77.90 79.5 79.4 79.4 79.2 78.6
Factory Orders -2.90 1.1 2.5 0.9 -1 0.7
New Orders 108.40 115 125 121 112 119
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -49.00 -12 -22 -8 11 18.1
Car Registrations 146991.00 121000 217000 199000 177000 129000
Steel Production 2299.00 1600 2250 2020 2060 1560
Mining Production 0.00 4.4 3.6 2.9 2.2 2
Bankruptcies 2949.00 3800 2900 2900 2400 3400
Composite Pmi 49.30 52.5 50.4 53.7 54 54
Electricity Production 24984.00 25800 26200 24200 24300 24500
Consumer Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Consumer Confidence 114.80 114 114 114 113 111
Retail Sales MoM 0.10 0.3 -0.4 -0.3 0.6 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 1.50 1.5 1.9 2 1.9 2.1
Consumer Spending 242025.00 242407 243202 243426 243315 250472
Disposable Personal Income 296399.00 298000 302000 304000 306000 316000
Personal Savings 8.60 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.2
Bank Lending Rate 1.93 1.95 1.95 1.95 2.2 2.7
Consumer Credit 100349.28 111000 115100 120200 125100 145000
Gasoline Prices 1.92 1.96 1.92 1.89 1.85 1.72
Households Debt To GDP 41.00 38.4 36.7 36.7 36.7 34.3
Households Debt To Income 61.12 57.4 55.2 55.2 55.2 53.2
Housing Actual Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020
Construction Output 0.60 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.2
Housing Index 99.40 102 103 104 105 108
Construction Pmi 53.90 50.9 51.5 52 52.5 52.6
Home Ownership Rate 72.40 71.8 71.5 71.5 71.5 71


Włochy - Prognozy - Wskaźniki ekonomiczne - Prognozy wskaźników ekonomicznych w tym przewidywania długoterminowego i krótkoterminowego.